Application of the ANN Algorithm to Predict Access to Drinkable Water in North Sumatra Regency (City)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.64366/ijids.v1i1.16Keywords:
Drinking water; Artificial Neural Networks; Backpropagation; Prediction; DataAbstract
The increase in population has an impact on increasing the need for drinking water, but this is not in line with the fact that not 100% of the people in Indonesia physically receive or consume safe drinking water. This analysis is based on data from the Central Statistics Agency to look at the social, economic and demographic factors of households regarding the availability of adequate physical quality drinking water. This research aims to predict the percentage of households that have access to adequate drinking water using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method. The technique used is Backpropogation. Backrpopagation is a supervised neural network training method, it evaluates the error contribution of each neuron after a set of data has been processed. The goal of backpropagataion is to modify weights to train a neural network to map arbitrary inputs to outputs correctly. Therefore, looking at the above problems, this research aims to determine access to adequate drinking water sources by predicting which households have adequate drinking water so that there is no lack of adequate drinking water sources in the City Regency area. Methods and basic data are needed to make predictions. In this research, data was obtained from BPS which used data from 2014 - 2021, with training data from 2014 - 2020 and testing data from 2015 - 2021. Based on the best architecture produced in this research, namely the 6-17-1 architecture with an accretion of 90%. Thus it can be concluded that the Backpropagation Neural Network can provide good accuracy in carrying out the prediction process.
Downloads
References
C. Karapataki and J. Adamowski, “Comparison of Multivariate Regression and Artificial Neural Networks for Peak Urban Water-Demand Forecasting: Evaluation of Different ANN Learning Algorithms,” J. Hydrol. Eng., vol. 17, no. 7, pp. 834–836, 2012, doi: 10.1061/(asce)he.1943-5584.0000472.
N. W. Handayani, H. Z. Hadibasyir, and A. A. Sigit, Analysis of the Population Density Correlation with the Temperature Changes in the Semarang Area from 1999 to 2019, vol. 2035. Atlantis Press SARL, 2023. doi: 10.2991/978-2-38476-066-4_10.
D. S. Sinaga, A. P. Windarto, R. A. Nasution, and I. S. Damanik, “Prediction of Product Sales Results Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (Anfis),” J. Artif. Intell. Eng. Appl., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 92–101, 2022, doi: 10.59934/jaiea.v1i2.73.
P. Alkhairi, P. P. P. A. N. . F. I. R.H.Zer, E. R. Batubara, F. N. Tambunan, and R. Rosnelly, “Pengenalan Pola Kemampuan Pelanggan Dalam Membayar Air Pdam Menggunakan Algoritma Naive Bayes,” Jurnaltimes, vol. X, no. 2, pp. 29–38, 2022.
L. Deng, P. Yang, and W. Liu, “An Improved Genetic Algorithm Coupling a Back-Propagation Neural Network Model (IGA-BPNN) for Water-Level Predictions,” 2019 IEEE 5th Int. Conf. Comput. Commun. ICCC 2019, pp. 47–51, 2019, doi: 10.1109/ICCC47050.2019.9064374.
R. Yusuf et al., “Application of Analytical Hierarchy Process Method for SQM on Customer Satisfaction,” J. Phys. Conf. Ser., vol. 1783, no. 1, 2021, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1783/1/012019.
W. Saputra, A. P. Windarto, and A. Wanto, “Analysis of the Resilient Method in Training and Accuracy in the Backpropagation Method,” IJICS (International J. Informatics Comput. Sci., vol. 5, no. 1, p. 52, 2021, doi: 10.30865/ijics.v5i1.2922.
H. Pratiwi et al., “Sigmoid Activation Function in Selecting the Best Model of Artificial Neural Networks,” J. Phys. Conf. Ser., vol. 1471, no. 1, 2020, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1471/1/012010.
M. Hosseinzadeh, O. Hassan, A. Marwan, and Y. Ghafour, “A multiple multilayer perceptron neural network with an adaptive learning algorithm for thyroid disease diagnosis in the internet of medical things,” J. Supercomput., no. 0123456789, 2020, doi: 10.1007/s11227-020-03404-w.
K. Cheng, “Hierarchical attributes learning for pedestrian re-identification via parallel stochastic gradient descent combined with momentum correction and adaptive learning rate,” Neural Comput. Appl., vol. 2, 2019, doi: 10.1007/s00521-019-04485-2.
Y. Deng et al., “New methods based on back propagation (BP) and radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural networks (ANNs) for predicting the occurrence of haloketones in tap water,” Sci. Total Environ., vol. 772, p. 145534, 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145534.
P. Alkhairi, E. R. Batubara, R. Rosnelly, W. Wanayaumini, and H. S. Tambunan, “Effect of Gradient Descent With Momentum Backpropagation Training Function in Detecting Alphabet Letters,” Sinkron, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 574–583, 2023, doi: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i1.12183.
D. Hartama, A. Perdana Windarto, and A. Wanto, “The Application of Data Mining in Determining Patterns of Interest of High School Graduates,” J. Phys. Conf. Ser., vol. 1339, no. 1, 2019, doi: 10.1088/1742-6596/1339/1/012042.
P. Alkhairi, I. S. Damanik, and A. P. Windarto, “Penerapan Jaringan Saraf Tiruan untuk Mengukur Korelasi Beban Kerja Dosen Terhadap Peningkatan Jumlah Publikasi,” Pros. Semin. Nas. Ris. Inf. Sci., vol. 1, no. September, p. 581, 2019, doi: 10.30645/senaris.v1i0.65.
R. Li, R. Gao, and P. N. Suganthan, “A decomposition-based hybrid ensemble CNN framework for driver fatigue recognition,” Inf. Sci. (Ny)., vol. 624, pp. 833–848, 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.ins.2022.12.088.
N. M. Nawi, F. Hamzah, N. A. Hamid, M. Z. Rehman, M. Aamir, and A. A. Ramli, “An Optimized Back Propagation Learning Algorithm with Adaptive Learning Rate,” vol. 7, no. 5, pp. 1693–1700, 2017.
A. K. Nugroho, I. Permadi, and M. Faturrahim, “Improvement Of Image Quality Using Convolutional Neural Networks Method,” Sci. J. Informatics, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 95–103, 2022, doi: 10.15294/sji.v9i1.30892.
A. Wanto, “Optimasi Prediksi Dengan Algoritma Backpropagation Dan Conjugate Gradient Beale-Powell Restarts,” J. Nas. Teknol. dan Sist. Inf., vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 370–380, 2018, doi: 10.25077/teknosi.v3i3.2017.370-380.
L. Zajmi, F. Y. H. Ahmed, and A. A. Jaharadak, “Concepts, Methods, and Performances of Particle Swarm Optimization, Backpropagation, and Neural Networks,” Appl. Comput. Intell. Soft Comput., vol. 2018, 2018, doi: 10.1155/2018/9547212.
A. A. Hameed, B. Karlik, and M. S. Salman, “Back-propagation Algorithm with Variable Adaptive Momentum,” Knowledge-Based Syst., 2016, doi: 10.1016/j.knosys.2016.10.001.
F. Yu and X. Xu, “A short-term load forecasting model of natural gas based on optimized genetic algorithm and improved BP neural network,” Appl. Energy, vol. 134, pp. 102–113, 2014, doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.07.104.
Bila bermanfaat silahkan share artikel ini
Berikan Komentar Anda terhadap artikel Application of the ANN Algorithm to Predict Access to Drinkable Water in North Sumatra Regency (City)
ARTICLE HISTORY
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2023 Muhammad Alfahrizi Lubis, Deza Geraldin Salsabilah Saragih, Indah Dea Anastasia, Agus Perdana Windarto, Putrama Alkhairi

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (Refer to The Effect of Open Access).





